Take that, Ray Kurzweil! -BAM!
Ok, fun’s over.
it ultimately differs from Both Ray and Duke Neuroscientist, Miguel Nicolelis,…
Who says the Singularity won’t happen. -Ever.
-His main points are that the brain is just too incredibly complex and dependent on chance and the irrational to ever be completely modeled. And Miguel isn’t even trying to use one to figure out Women. :P
*Of course, Ray’s predictions are motivated by one thing: He’s supposed to be dead.
So his timeline jives conspicuously-close to -just- before he’s actually supposed to die while taking advantage of modern medicine and supplements. A timeline forecast by the very early deaths of Ray’s father and his uncle.
And just like Schumpeter’s ruleset for most technological innovations, the time something Officially ~’Works’ + on a Large, Feasible, Commercial, or even Consumer-Grade Scale is LONG after the Original invention or innovation.
*Just think back to those Web 1.0 predicitons of High-Speed Access, Widespread Internet-Video/TV, MP3s, etc. and when their Actual Prevalence or Affordability were solidified…
-Long time from Broadcast.com to Hulu Plus, right?
-Hell, the guy who invented MP3 thought it was all silly, because no individual would Ever have that kind of computing power available; -especially for something as trivial as compressing something called a ‘Skrillex’. (though he would have been psyched by the sounds of a fax-machine-gangbang)
So I say they’re both wrong.
The Singularity Will happen, but not on Ray Kurzweil’s timeline.
They’ve gotten together a massive distributed-network, 80 partners and over a Billion dollars of funding, and their chief dude says they STILL need computers at least 1,000 times more powerful than what we have to actually Start modeling a human brain.
Yup. It’s UNIVAC all over again. The Singularity of Even. One. Brain-Model will probably be a server-farm the size of a
And it will happen.
-Two-Hundred and Fifty Years AFTER Ray says it will and Miguel says it won’t.
Hop on over to Technology Review for further deets.
-The comments alone are worth it.
“Time machine”, by huseyin bakir
• Source: TR-The Brain Is Not Computable
• via: Mashable
• More Coverage: nicolelislab.net | kurzweil AI | OhTheTransHumanity | Electro-Harmonix Holy Grail Reverb